5
validation groups
Validation summary
Domain-transfer validation snapshot.
This page uses the real Synathra.Sport v0.5 public CSV assets: public_v0_5_core_label_metrics.csv and public_v0_5_future_goal_h10_summary.csv.
3
public labels
2
v0.5 candidate transfer groups
4.678-4.978
future_goal_h10 top10_lift range
Future-goal H10 ROC AUC range
0.729-0.756
The future-goal H10 summary contains 5 group-level rows, 822,283 observations and 6,012 positive cases.
Core label metric coverage
15 rows
The core metrics table covers 3 public labels across 5 validation groups. The full core top10_lift range is 2.925-4.978; the full ROC AUC range is 0.657-0.756.
Primary validation table
Future-goal H10 summary.
Source: public_v0_5_future_goal_h10_summary.csv.
| Group | Domain shift | Target role | Observations | Positives | top10_lift | ROC AUC | Average precision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup 2018 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 71,838 | 590 | 4.678 | 0.742 | 0.098 |
| FIFA World Cup 2022 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 234,637 | 1,808 | 4.978 | 0.748 | 0.112 |
| Ligue 1 2021/2022 | club_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 101,766 | 810 | 4.679 | 0.734 | 0.096 |
| UEFA Euro 2024 | cross_competition_mens_international | base_v0_4 | 187,924 | 1,140 | 4.763 | 0.756 | 0.069 |
| Women's World Cup 2023 | gender_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 226,118 | 1,664 | 4.844 | 0.729 | 0.090 |
Core metrics table
Core label metrics.
Source: public_v0_5_core_label_metrics.csv.
| Group | Label | Domain shift | Target role | Observations | Positives | top10_lift | ROC AUC | Average precision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup 2018 | future_goal_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 71,838 | 590 | 4.678 | 0.742 | 0.098 |
| FIFA World Cup 2022 | future_goal_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 234,637 | 1,808 | 4.978 | 0.748 | 0.112 |
| Ligue 1 2021/2022 | future_goal_h10 | club_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 101,766 | 810 | 4.679 | 0.734 | 0.096 |
| UEFA Euro 2024 | future_goal_h10 | cross_competition_mens_international | base_v0_4 | 187,924 | 1,140 | 4.763 | 0.756 | 0.069 |
| Women's World Cup 2023 | future_goal_h10 | gender_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 226,118 | 1,664 | 4.844 | 0.729 | 0.090 |
| FIFA World Cup 2018 | future_high_xg_shot_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 71,838 | 1,554 | 3.616 | 0.681 | 0.116 |
| FIFA World Cup 2022 | future_high_xg_shot_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 234,637 | 3,986 | 4.077 | 0.710 | 0.141 |
| Ligue 1 2021/2022 | future_high_xg_shot_h10 | club_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 101,766 | 2,035 | 3.843 | 0.689 | 0.132 |
| UEFA Euro 2024 | future_high_xg_shot_h10 | cross_competition_mens_international | base_v0_4 | 187,924 | 3,386 | 4.114 | 0.712 | 0.126 |
| Women's World Cup 2023 | future_high_xg_shot_h10 | gender_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 226,118 | 4,014 | 4.076 | 0.704 | 0.141 |
| FIFA World Cup 2018 | future_shot_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 71,838 | 5,156 | 2.925 | 0.670 | 0.190 |
| FIFA World Cup 2022 | future_shot_h10 | same_family_cross_season | base_v0_4 | 234,637 | 13,863 | 3.116 | 0.673 | 0.186 |
| Ligue 1 2021/2022 | future_shot_h10 | club_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 101,766 | 6,482 | 2.940 | 0.657 | 0.177 |
| UEFA Euro 2024 | future_shot_h10 | cross_competition_mens_international | base_v0_4 | 187,924 | 12,682 | 2.941 | 0.662 | 0.183 |
| Women's World Cup 2023 | future_shot_h10 | gender_transfer | v0_5_candidate | 226,118 | 15,555 | 2.937 | 0.668 | 0.195 |
Boundary of interpretation
Synathra.Sport v0.5 is not a bookmaker model and does not predict final scores. It explains and ranks event-chain risk before visible danger appears.